Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000179 0.000223 0.000280
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000082 0.000107 0.000141 0.000185 0.000241 0.000318
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000197 0.000267 0.000368
2024-11-17 0.000049 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000203 0.000287 0.000410
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000211 0.000308 0.000458
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000141 0.000216 0.000326 0.000500
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000221 0.000343 0.000544
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000227 0.000363 0.000593
2024-12-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000234 0.000384 0.000644
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000140 0.000240 0.000405 0.000698
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000245 0.000423 0.000750
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000140 0.000253 0.000448 0.000816
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000261 0.000475 0.000887
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000264 0.000492 0.000942
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000141 0.000275 0.000525 0.001030
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000070 0.000140 0.000280 0.000546 0.001095
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000141 0.000287 0.000572 0.001175
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000139 0.000290 0.000590 0.001239
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000138 0.000294 0.000610 0.001309
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000063 0.000138 0.000299 0.000634 0.001389
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000138 0.000306 0.000661 0.001477